By Dr. Derek Ellerman
I have to be honest, I was a little surprised when early (too early) polling showed former President Trump trouncing Florida Governor Ron DeSantis by some 30 points.
Not that I underestimate the loyalty of Trump supporters, mind you. It’s just that politics has been a bit… unusual since about 2015. Not that there’s anything wrong with that.
But this latest poll from Emerson is something else entirely.
30 points is big. Almost 50 points? I expected just a teensy bit more competitiveness.
Emerson College Poll: Trump Posts Biggest Lead Yet Over DeSantis
Trump — 62% (+46)
DeSantis — 16%
Pence — 7%
Haley — 3%
Ramaswamy — 3%
Christie — 2%
Hutchinson — 2%
T. Scott — 0.4%
Sununu — 0.4%
Emerson (A-) | April 24-25 | RVshttps://t.co/mfwuFlIDnS pic.twitter.com/O0Vh8AoeWy
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) April 27, 2023
RELATED: Shock Poll Shows Biden Can’t Dismiss Primary Challenge from Robert Kennedy, Jr.
Trump is Brutalizing DeSantis
46 points is massive.
Harder to know how long things will stay that way. Thus far, DeSantis hasn’t officially announced his campaign, which should give a big boost to his visibility.
The official campaign turns into official fundraising, official PACs and committees, etc., which turns into exposure on the airwaves and online, you get the picture.
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Nevertheless, 46 points?
On the other side of the aisle, incumbent President Joe Biden is leading his nearest competitor Robert F Kennedy Jr. by just 43 points.
To think of it another way – Biden has the backing of his entire party and the national media. His biggest rival is a man the media has vilified for years.
And yet, Biden is winning by less than Trump is, who faces an open primary and a hostile party and media.
Interesting, both Trump and Biden are taking 62% of the primary vote. More interestingly, RFK picks up a bigger share (19%) than DeSantis does (16%).
What are the chances? Like I said before about politics being just a bit strange lately.
His criticism doesn’t even make sense. It is not DeSantis that is choosing to go to court. And “sitting down” with Disney is the job of the new board.
Further, DeSantis did personally negotiate with Disney early on. They rebuffed any moderation. https://t.co/uRCKa8t7im pic.twitter.com/JpLhNk0qmJ
— Bonchie (@bonchieredstate) April 28, 2023
RELATED: Sorry Friends, a Trump-DeSantis Ticket is an Awful Idea
GOP Establishment Attacking DeSantis Over Disney Flap
One thing that should give DeSantis a boost in the primary polls – theoretically – is his battle with Disney.
It’s a convoluted story, which you can read about here, but the important factor to most voters will simply be that DeSantis is willing to take on a woke megacorporation. One that is a global force and mainstay in the state of Florida.
And it’s not just sitting across the table from woke Disney – DeSantis is also drawing fire from Republicans over the battle. Establishment Republicans.
Establishment Republicans like House Speaker Kevin McCarthy, who went on CNBC to chastise DeSantis for not “sitting down” with Disney.
Or fellow Floridian Marco Rubio, who gave DeSantis a subtle warning on Fox.
Contra McCarthy and Rubio, you’re not like to find many Republican primary voters who are all too concerned about one of the largest corporations on the planet force-feeding woke malarkey to children.
Rather, they’d side with DeSantis.
Regardless, the main question at this point is whether or not DeSantis will view a staggering 50-point Trump lead as either insurmountable or an unnecessarily brutal fight that could put 2028 aspirations at risk.
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